Who Pays for Ethereum’s Security?
A response to EIP-8363: Tapered Issuance Burn
Dilution of ETH holders is suddenly the problem we must solve.
It was not the problem when Ethereum collapsed its own fee revenue. Fees are how users pay for the security they consume — that is what a working blockchain economy looks like, and it is what Ethereum looked like until we decided that the way to compete was to give blockspace away. Having given away the revenue that would have paid validators, we now discover that validators are being paid by diluting everyone else, and propose to fix it by taking the payment away.
The bill for a decision to stop charging users is being presented to the long-term ETH investor. That is the choice actually on the table, and it should be named before we argue about curves.
Issuance does not buy security
Consider 30% of supply staked by a single provider in one cloud region, against 30% staked by a million people on hardware in their homes. A metric that counts capital says these are equally secure. Only one of them is a network.
The authors would not dispute this — the proposal itself argues that whose principal is at risk matters, not merely how much is staked. But that concession cuts through the instrument, not just the opposing case. If staked capital does not measure what we want, then it does not measure it in either direction: EIP-8363 accounts for the benefit of the current curve in ETH staked and its cost in ETH issued, and both are the wrong quantity.
The diagnosis underneath is right. The curve pays the same rate to someone running a validator on a machine he owns and to a business staking someone else’s ETH at scale, and since the second group is far larger, most of the subsidy lands where it buys nothing. The prescription does not follow. The answer to a badly aimed subsidy is to aim it — regressivity per validator rather than per ETH, incentives conditional on independent operation, stronger correlated-penalty design. This proposal answers a targeting problem with abolition.
Why the rate ends at the operator’s marginal cost
This is the part I think is being missed, and it is simple.
Under the current curve, yield declines as staking grows but never reaches zero. There is no point at which staking stops being worth doing, so everyone stays and everyone keeps growing. Under the taper there is such a point. The question the proposal never answers is: who reaches it first?
Two very different participants are in this market.
An investor stakes his own ETH. He has a cost of capital — the ETH could sit unstaked, or be somewhere else entirely. On top of that he carries operating cost that does not scale, illiquidity, slashing exposure on his own principal, and tax on rewards as they accrue. His hurdle rate is high, and for a home staker with 32 ETH the fixed cost alone is one to two and a half percent of nominal per year.
A staking business stakes other people’s ETH. It has no cost of capital, because none of the capital is its own. It is not investing; it is collecting a fee on assets under management. Its only real cost is running servers, which across thousands of validators rounds to nothing. Its hurdle rate is approximately zero.
So as the yield falls, the investor exits first and the business exits last — and the business, having no hurdle, keeps taking deposits all the way down. Worse, most of the ETH it stakes was never anyone’s marginal decision: exchange balances are staked by default, ETP mandates stake by contract, liquid staking tokens stake by construction. The beneficial owner is never asked what rate he requires, so he never expresses one.
The proposal assumes the market clears where the marginal staker’s risk premium is met, and concludes the ratio settles safely below the threshold. But the marginal staker is not an investor with a premium. He is an intermediary with none. The rate therefore does not stop where an investor would stop. It stops at the marginal cost of the cheapest operator, which is close to zero.
The taper does not create an off-switch. It chooses whom it switches off — and it switches off the principal while leaving the agent, which is the exact inverse of its stated purpose.
Why that hits demand for ETH
The staking yield is not a fee for a service. It is the policy rate of the Ethereum economy — the return on its safest asset, the floor under every ETH-denominated credit market, and the reason a long-term holder is a holder rather than a trader. Interest paid on central bank reserves is also a pure transfer created from nothing, and nobody argues it should therefore be zero, or calls setting it to zero “letting the market decide.”
Set that rate to zero and two things follow.
The marginal dollar buying ETH today arrives through vehicles that require a contractual, auditable yield: staking ETPs, corporate treasuries, institutional mandates. Avoided dilution is nobody’s line item; staking revenue is. The taper does not change what ETH is worth — it dismantles the channel through which capital currently reaches it.
And ETH-denominated credit would clear near zero while dollar-denominated credit onchain clears at four to six percent. The savings of the Ethereum economy then denominate in dollars, and ETH is left as a gas token with a scarcity story. That is precisely the loss of moneyness this proposal claims to prevent. Bagehot’s observation has not aged: John Bull can stand many things, but he cannot stand two per cent. Capital does not sit still at a suppressed rate.
Scarcity without monetary function is not a premium. It is a collectible.
What would prove me wrong
Less issuance is less supply growth, and that pushes the other way. Against roughly 0.85% annual supply growth today, the taper eventually saves something under a percentage point a year of dilution, and whether the demand it destroys exceeds that is an arithmetic question I intend to publish rather than assert.
I would rather be judged on what my mechanism predicts than on price. Within twelve months of activation: the staking ratio proceeds toward the threshold rather than stabilising below it; the solo-staker share of the validator set falls while the exchange, liquid-staking and treasury share rises; and ETH-denominated lending rates compress toward zero while stablecoin rates do not. If those move the other way, I am wrong and will say so.
The question we are avoiding
An economy that refuses to collect revenue cannot expect its base rate to be anything other than zero, whatever the issuance curve says. EIP-8363 is a way of not having the conversation about fees by having a conversation about staking instead.